Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Halifax Town win with a probability of 43.77%. A win for Gateshead had a probability of 30.59% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Halifax Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.02%) and 2-0 (7.55%). The likeliest Gateshead win was 0-1 (8.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.18%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Halifax Town would win this match.