SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 21 | Gateshead | 5 | -2 | 3 |
| 22 | Scunthorpe United | 5 | -4 | 3 |
| 23 | Aldershot Town | 5 | -5 | 3 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 22 | Scunthorpe United | 5 | -4 | 3 |
| 23 | Aldershot Town | 5 | -5 | 3 |
| 24 | Halifax Town | 5 | -7 | 1 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Halifax Town win with a probability of 44.24%. A win for Scunthorpe United had a probability of 28.95% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Halifax Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.84%) and 0-2 (8.25%). The likeliest Scunthorpe United win was 1-0 (9.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.7%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Halifax Town would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Scunthorpe United | Draw | Halifax Town |
28.95% ( 0.56) | 26.81% ( 0.04) | 44.24% ( -0.59) |
| Both teams to score 49.4% ( 0.22) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.67% ( 0.13) | 55.33% ( -0.13) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.46% ( 0.11) | 76.54% ( -0.11) |
| Scunthorpe United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.75% ( 0.5) | 34.25% ( -0.5) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.05% ( 0.53) | 70.95% ( -0.53) |
| Halifax Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.13% ( -0.23) | 24.87% ( 0.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.53% ( -0.33) | 59.47% ( 0.33) |
| Score Analysis |
| Scunthorpe United | Draw | Halifax Town |
| 1-0 @ 9.13% ( 0.08) 2-1 @ 6.8% ( 0.1)2-0 @ 4.89% ( 0.11)3-1 @ 2.43% ( 0.07)3-0 @ 1.75% ( 0.06)3-2 @ 1.69% ( 0.04)Other @ 2.26% Total : 28.95% | 1-1 @ 12.7% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 8.52% ( -0.04)2-2 @ 4.73% ( 0.04)Other @ 0.86% Total : 26.81% | 0-1 @ 11.85% ( -0.14) 1-2 @ 8.84% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 8.25% ( -0.16)1-3 @ 4.1% ( -0.05)0-3 @ 3.83% ( -0.1)2-3 @ 2.2% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.43% ( -0.03)0-4 @ 1.33% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.42% Total : 44.24% |
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