Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 43.88%. A win for Halifax Town had a probability of 29.38% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.83%) and 0-2 (8.12%). The likeliest Halifax Town win was 1-0 (9.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Notts County would win this match.
-0.25) 
0.07) 
