It is likely to be a tight game between two sides chasing promotion, but Halifax hold home advantage and are in the much better form, so they should come away with the win here.
Grimsby deserved their hard-earned draw at Halifax recently, but with Halifax now returning to their own patch, they will be expected to extend their lead at the top of the table to pile the pressure on Hurst at the visitors.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Halifax Town win with a probability of 50.89%. A win for Grimsby Town had a probability of 25.77% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Halifax Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.07%) and 2-0 (8.05%). The likeliest Grimsby Town win was 1-2 (6.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Halifax Town would win this match.
