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National League | Gameweek 15
Nov 13, 2021 at 3pm UK
Recreation Ground
GT

Aldershot
2 - 1
Grimsby Town

Willard (12'), Whittingham (60')
Glover (23'), Oxlade-Chamberlain (40'), Kinsella (64')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Clifton (17')
Sousa (56'), Hunt (90')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Grimsby Town win with a probability of 74.97%. A draw had a probability of 16.3% and a win for Aldershot Town had a probability of 8.74%.

The most likely scoreline for a Grimsby Town win was 0-2 with a probability of 13.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (11.79%) and 0-3 (10.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.73%), while for an Aldershot Town win it was 1-0 (3.32%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood.

Result
Aldershot TownDrawGrimsby Town
8.74%16.29%74.97%
Both teams to score 43.37%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.28%42.72%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.87%65.13%
Aldershot Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
48.06%51.94%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
14.04%85.97%
Grimsby Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.24%9.76%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
67.53%32.47%
Score Analysis
    Aldershot Town 8.74%
    Grimsby Town 74.95%
    Draw 16.29%
Aldershot TownDrawGrimsby Town
1-0 @ 3.32%
2-1 @ 2.53%
2-0 @ 1.09%
Other @ 1.8%
Total : 8.74%
1-1 @ 7.73%
0-0 @ 5.07%
2-2 @ 2.95%
Other @ 0.55%
Total : 16.29%
0-2 @ 13.72%
0-1 @ 11.79%
0-3 @ 10.64%
1-2 @ 8.99%
1-3 @ 6.98%
0-4 @ 6.2%
1-4 @ 4.06%
0-5 @ 2.88%
2-3 @ 2.29%
1-5 @ 1.89%
2-4 @ 1.33%
0-6 @ 1.12%
Other @ 3.08%
Total : 74.95%

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