Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesterfield win with a probability of 41.55%. A win for Halifax Town had a probability of 32.38% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.76%) and 2-0 (7.2%). The likeliest Halifax Town win was 0-1 (8.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.39%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood.
