Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 49%. A win for Halifax Town had a probability of 26.74% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.53%) and 0-2 (8.17%). The likeliest Halifax Town win was 1-0 (6.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.45%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.
