Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hartlepool United win with a probability of 38.36%. A win for Gateshead had a probability of 37.16% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hartlepool United win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.73%) and 2-0 (5.78%). The likeliest Gateshead win was 1-2 (8.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.34%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Hartlepool United in this match.
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