Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 42.11%. A win for King's Lynn Town had a probability of 32.57% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.9%) and 0-2 (6.97%). The likeliest King's Lynn Town win was 1-0 (8.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.98%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Notts County would win this match.