Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 39.93%. A win for Rochdale had a probability of 35.49% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.07%) and 2-0 (6.12%). The likeliest Rochdale win was 1-2 (8.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.
