Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 51.26%. A win for Southend United had a probability of 24.64% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.65%) and 2-0 (8.8%). The likeliest Southend United win was 0-1 (6.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.42%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Notts County would win this match.