Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 44.34%. A win for Maidenhead United had a probability of 30.73% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.14%) and 0-2 (7.3%). The likeliest Maidenhead United win was 1-0 (7.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.76%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood.