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National League | Gameweek 10
Oct 5, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
Racecourse Ground
C

Wrexham
1 - 1
Chesterfield

Mullin (84')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Kerr (5')
Maguire (19'), Kellerman (45'), Kerr (75')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 39.71%. A win for Chesterfield had a probability of 32.51% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.23%) and 2-0 (7.41%). The likeliest Chesterfield win was 0-1 (10.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood.

Result
WrexhamDrawChesterfield
39.71%27.78%32.51%
Both teams to score 48.01%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.22%57.78%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.49%78.51%
Wrexham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.59%28.41%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.84%64.16%
Chesterfield Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.07%32.93%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.49%69.51%
Score Analysis
    Wrexham 39.71%
    Chesterfield 32.51%
    Draw 27.77%
WrexhamDrawChesterfield
1-0 @ 11.77%
2-1 @ 8.23%
2-0 @ 7.41%
3-1 @ 3.45%
3-0 @ 3.11%
3-2 @ 1.92%
4-1 @ 1.09%
4-0 @ 0.98%
Other @ 1.76%
Total : 39.71%
1-1 @ 13.07%
0-0 @ 9.36%
2-2 @ 4.57%
Other @ 0.78%
Total : 27.77%
0-1 @ 10.39%
1-2 @ 7.26%
0-2 @ 5.77%
1-3 @ 2.69%
0-3 @ 2.14%
2-3 @ 1.69%
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 32.51%

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