SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Maidstone United win with a probability of 46.56%. A win for Altrincham had a probability of 29.69% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Maidstone United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.35%) and 2-0 (7.1%). The likeliest Altrincham win was 1-2 (7.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.96%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Altrincham would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Maidstone United | Draw | Altrincham |
46.56% ( 0.02) | 23.75% ( 0) | 29.69% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 59.75% ( -0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.97% ( -0.03) | 42.02% ( 0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.57% ( -0.03) | 64.42% ( 0.03) |
| Maidstone United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.73% ( -0.01) | 18.27% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.67% ( -0.01) | 49.32% ( 0.01) |
| Altrincham Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.1% ( -0.03) | 26.89% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.79% ( -0.04) | 62.21% ( 0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Maidstone United | Draw | Altrincham |
| 2-1 @ 9.32% ( 0) 1-0 @ 8.35% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 7.1% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 5.28% 3-0 @ 4.02% ( 0)3-2 @ 3.47% ( -0)4-1 @ 2.25% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.71% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.48% ( -0)Other @ 3.58% Total : 46.56% | 1-1 @ 10.96% 2-2 @ 6.12% ( -0)0-0 @ 4.91% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.52% ( -0)Other @ 0.23% Total : 23.75% | 1-2 @ 7.2% ( -0) 0-1 @ 6.45% ( 0)0-2 @ 4.24% ( -0)1-3 @ 3.15% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.68% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.86% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.04% ( -0)Other @ 3.07% Total : 29.69% |
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