SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eastleigh win with a probability of 59.99%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for Maidstone United had a probability of 19.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Eastleigh win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.03%) and 1-0 (8.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.52%), while for a Maidstone United win it was 1-2 (5.22%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Eastleigh would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Eastleigh | Draw | Maidstone United |
59.99% ( 0.14) | 20.71% ( -0.06) | 19.3% ( -0.08) |
| Both teams to score 58.25% ( 0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.5% ( 0.15) | 38.5% ( -0.15) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.2% ( 0.16) | 60.79% ( -0.16) |
| Eastleigh Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.5% ( 0.08) | 12.5% ( -0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 61.51% ( 0.18) | 38.48% ( -0.18) |
| Maidstone United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.57% ( 0.01) | 33.43% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.94% ( 0.01) | 70.06% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Eastleigh | Draw | Maidstone United |
| 2-1 @ 9.9% ( -0) 2-0 @ 9.03% ( -0)1-0 @ 8.69% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 6.86% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 6.26% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 3.76% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 3.57% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 3.26% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.96% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 1.48% ( 0.01)5-0 @ 1.36% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.87% Total : 59.99% | 1-1 @ 9.52% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 5.42% 0-0 @ 4.18% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 1.37% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.22% Total : 20.71% | 1-2 @ 5.22% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 4.58% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 2.51% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 1.98% 1-3 @ 1.91% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 0.92% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.2% Total : 19.3% |
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