Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 59.7%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Dagenham & Redbridge had a probability of 17.56%.
The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.3%) and 2-1 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.79%), while for a Dagenham & Redbridge win it was 0-1 (5.98%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Notts County would win this match.
