Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 44.82%. A win for Stockport County had a probability of 30.33% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.18%) and 2-0 (7.37%). The likeliest Stockport County win was 0-1 (7.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Notts County in this match.
