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FA Cup | First Round
Nov 7, 2020 at 3pm UK
Crown Oil Arena
SC

Rochdale
1 - 2
Stockport

Lund (22')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Jennings (7'), Reid (14')
Coverage of the FA Cup First Round clash between Rochdale and Stockport County.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stockport County win with a probability of 39.91%. A win for Rochdale had a probability of 34.85% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stockport County win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.66%) and 0-2 (6.44%). The likeliest Rochdale win was 1-0 (8.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.89%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stockport County would win this match.

Result
RochdaleDrawStockport County
34.85%25.24%39.91%
Both teams to score 56.69%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.06%46.94%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.81%69.19%
Rochdale Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.93%26.07%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.88%61.12%
Stockport County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.68%23.32%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.73%57.27%
Score Analysis
    Rochdale 34.85%
    Stockport County 39.91%
    Draw 25.23%
RochdaleDrawStockport County
1-0 @ 8.17%
2-1 @ 8%
2-0 @ 5.49%
3-1 @ 3.58%
3-2 @ 2.61%
3-0 @ 2.46%
4-1 @ 1.2%
Other @ 3.33%
Total : 34.85%
1-1 @ 11.89%
0-0 @ 6.08%
2-2 @ 5.82%
3-3 @ 1.27%
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 25.23%
0-1 @ 8.85%
1-2 @ 8.66%
0-2 @ 6.44%
1-3 @ 4.2%
0-3 @ 3.13%
2-3 @ 2.83%
1-4 @ 1.53%
0-4 @ 1.14%
2-4 @ 1.03%
Other @ 2.1%
Total : 39.91%


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