Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stockport County win with a probability of 39.91%. A win for Rochdale had a probability of 34.85% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stockport County win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.66%) and 0-2 (6.44%). The likeliest Rochdale win was 1-0 (8.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.89%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stockport County would win this match.