Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 38.95%. A win for Stockport County had a probability of 35.74% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.54%) and 2-0 (6.28%). The likeliest Stockport County win was 0-1 (8.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.94%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Notts County would win this match.
