SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rochdale win with a probability of 52.5%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Forest Green Rovers had a probability of 23.15%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rochdale win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.65%) and 2-0 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.57%), while for a Forest Green Rovers win it was 0-1 (6.94%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Rochdale | Draw | Forest Green Rovers |
52.5% ( -0.12) | 24.34% ( 0.02) | 23.15% ( 0.09) |
| Both teams to score 51.88% ( 0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.33% ( -0.01) | 49.66% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.31% ( -0.01) | 71.68% ( 0.01) |
| Rochdale Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.12% ( -0.05) | 18.88% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.65% ( -0.08) | 50.35% ( 0.08) |
| Forest Green Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.95% ( 0.08) | 36.04% ( -0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.17% ( 0.08) | 72.82% ( -0.09) |
| Score Analysis |
| Rochdale | Draw | Forest Green Rovers |
| 1-0 @ 11.34% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.65% ( -0)2-0 @ 9.46% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 5.36% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 5.26% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 2.74% 4-1 @ 2.24% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 2.19% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.14% ( -0)Other @ 3.13% Total : 52.5% | 1-1 @ 11.57% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.8% ( 0)2-2 @ 4.92% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 0.93% ( 0)Other @ 0.11% Total : 24.33% | 0-1 @ 6.94% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 5.91% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 3.54% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 2.01% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.68% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.21% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.87% Total : 23.15% |
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