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National League | Gameweek 28
Mar 14, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Damson Park
SU

Solihull
3 - 1
Scunthorpe

Kelly (15', 90+3'), Sbarra (86')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Smith (35')
Coverage of the National League clash between Solihull Moors and Scunthorpe United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Solihull 3-2 Torquay Utd
Tuesday, March 7 at 7.45pm in National League
Last Game: Scunthorpe 2-0 Altrincham
Tuesday, March 7 at 7.45pm in National League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Solihull Moors win with a probability of 59.1%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Scunthorpe United had a probability of 18.58%.

The most likely scoreline for a Solihull Moors win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.52%) and 2-1 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.6%), while for a Scunthorpe United win it was 0-1 (5.69%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Solihull Moors would win this match.

Result
Solihull MoorsDrawScunthorpe United
59.1% (0.021000000000001 0.02) 22.32% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01) 18.58% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Both teams to score 51.48% (0.020000000000003 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.17% (0.038000000000004 0.04)46.83% (-0.037999999999997 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.91% (0.034000000000002 0.03)69.09% (-0.035000000000011 -0.04)
Solihull Moors Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.51% (0.019000000000005 0.02)15.49% (-0.02 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.63% (0.035999999999994 0.04)44.37% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)
Scunthorpe United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.92% (0.009999999999998 0.01)39.08% (-0.012 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.2% (0.010000000000002 0.01)75.8% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Solihull Moors 59.09%
    Scunthorpe United 18.58%
    Draw 22.31%
Solihull MoorsDrawScunthorpe United
1-0 @ 11.28% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-0 @ 10.52%
2-1 @ 9.89% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-0 @ 6.55% (0.0040000000000004 0)
3-1 @ 6.15% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
4-0 @ 3.05% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 2.89% (0.0029999999999997 0)
4-1 @ 2.87% (0.004 0)
4-2 @ 1.35% (0.002 0)
5-0 @ 1.14% (0.002 0)
5-1 @ 1.07% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.34%
Total : 59.09%
1-1 @ 10.6% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.05% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.65% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-3 @ 0.91% (0.001 0)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 22.31%
0-1 @ 5.69% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
1-2 @ 4.98% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-2 @ 2.67% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 1.56%
2-3 @ 1.46% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.23%
Total : 18.58%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Solihull 3-2 Torquay Utd
Tuesday, March 7 at 7.45pm in National League
Last Game: Solihull 2-0 Maidstone
Saturday, March 4 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Altrincham 4-1 Solihull
Saturday, February 25 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Halifax 1-1 Solihull
Tuesday, February 21 at 7.45pm in National League
Last Game: Solihull 0-0 Chesterfield
Saturday, February 18 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Boreham Wood 1-1 Solihull
Tuesday, February 14 at 7.45pm in National League
Last Game: Scunthorpe 2-0 Altrincham
Tuesday, March 7 at 7.45pm in National League
Last Game: Scunthorpe 0-1 Eastleigh
Saturday, March 4 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Maidstone 1-1 Scunthorpe
Tuesday, February 28 at 7.45pm in National League
Last Game: Boreham Wood 2-0 Scunthorpe
Saturday, February 25 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Wrexham 2-0 Scunthorpe
Tuesday, February 21 at 7.45pm in National League
Last Game: Scunthorpe 3-2 Dag & Red
Saturday, February 18 at 3pm in National League


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