Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eastleigh win with a probability of 48.51%. A win for Scunthorpe United had a probability of 28% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Eastleigh win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.51%) and 0-2 (7.43%). The likeliest Scunthorpe United win was 2-1 (6.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.84%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Eastleigh would win this match.
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