SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 83.26%. A draw had a probability of 11% and a win for Scunthorpe United had a probability of 5.74%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 3-0 with a probability of 11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.89%) and 4-0 (8.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.12%), while for a Scunthorpe United win it was 1-2 (1.82%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Wrexham would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Wrexham | Draw | Scunthorpe United |
83.26% ( 0.09) | 11% ( -0.05) | 5.74% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 48.43% ( -0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 72.13% ( 0.07) | 27.87% ( -0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 51.42% ( 0.08) | 48.58% ( -0.09) |
| Wrexham Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 95.16% ( 0.03) | 4.84% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 80.51% ( 0.08) | 19.49% ( -0.09) |
| Scunthorpe United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 50.89% ( -0.08) | 49.11% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 15.97% ( -0.05) | 84.03% ( 0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Wrexham | Draw | Scunthorpe United |
| 3-0 @ 11% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 10.89% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 8.33% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 7.82% ( -0)2-1 @ 7.75% ( -0.02)1-0 @ 7.2% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 5.92% ( 0.01)5-0 @ 5.05% ( 0.03)5-1 @ 3.59% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.78% ( -0.01)6-0 @ 2.55% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 2.11% ( -0)6-1 @ 1.81% ( 0.01)5-2 @ 1.28% ( 0)7-0 @ 1.1% ( 0.01)Other @ 4.08% Total : 83.25% | 1-1 @ 5.12% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 2.76% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 2.38% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.76% Total : 11% | 1-2 @ 1.82% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 1.69% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.23% Total : 5.74% |
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