Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stockport County win with a probability of 56.01%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Chesterfield had a probability of 19.98%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stockport County win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.66%) and 2-1 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.39%), while for a Chesterfield win it was 0-1 (6.72%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stockport County would win this match.
