Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 61.92%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Chesterfield had a probability of 16.32%.
The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.49%) and 2-1 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.35%), while for a Chesterfield win it was 0-1 (5.46%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.
