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FA Cup | First Round
Nov 8, 2020 at 12.45pm UK
Plainmoor Ground
CT

Torquay Utd
2 - 0
Crawley

Torquay Utd win 0-0 on penalties
Nemane (18'), Whitfield (24')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Coverage of the FA Cup First Round clash between Torquay United and Crawley Town.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crawley Town win with a probability of 39.06%. A win for Torquay United had a probability of 37.02% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crawley Town win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.17%) and 0-2 (5.61%). The likeliest Torquay United win was 2-1 (8.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.88%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.

Result
Torquay UnitedDrawCrawley Town
37.02%23.91%39.06%
Both teams to score 61.78%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.54%40.46%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.17%62.84%
Torquay United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.1%21.9%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.84%55.16%
Crawley Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.11%20.9%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.39%53.61%
Score Analysis
    Torquay United 37.02%
    Crawley Town 39.06%
    Draw 23.91%
Torquay UnitedDrawCrawley Town
2-1 @ 8.26%
1-0 @ 6.95%
2-0 @ 5.28%
3-1 @ 4.18%
3-2 @ 3.27%
3-0 @ 2.67%
4-1 @ 1.59%
4-2 @ 1.24%
4-0 @ 1.01%
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 37.02%
1-1 @ 10.88%
2-2 @ 6.47%
0-0 @ 4.58%
3-3 @ 1.71%
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 23.91%
1-2 @ 8.52%
0-1 @ 7.17%
0-2 @ 5.61%
1-3 @ 4.45%
2-3 @ 3.38%
0-3 @ 2.93%
1-4 @ 1.74%
2-4 @ 1.32%
0-4 @ 1.15%
Other @ 2.82%
Total : 39.06%


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