Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Weymouth win with a probability of 45.94%. A win for Chesterfield had a probability of 29.18% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Weymouth win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.27%) and 2-0 (7.69%). The likeliest Chesterfield win was 0-1 (7.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.76%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.
