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National League | Gameweek 4
Aug 20, 2022 at 3pm UK
Poolfoot Farm
MU

Wrexham
5 - 0
Maidstone

Mullin (9', 64', 82'), Davies (39'), Odusanya (45+3' og.)
Hayden (67')
FT(HT: 3-0)

Fowler (71')
Coverage of the National League clash between Wrexham and Maidstone United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Chesterfield 2-0 Wrexham
Tuesday, August 16 at 7.45pm in National League
Last Game: Maidstone 2-4 Dorking
Tuesday, August 16 at 7.45pm in National League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 58.79%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Maidstone United had a probability of 19.81%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.32%) and 2-0 (9.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.97%), while for a Maidstone United win it was 1-2 (5.33%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Wrexham would win this match.

Result
WrexhamDrawMaidstone United
58.79% (0.331 0.33) 21.4% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08) 19.81% (-0.248 -0.25)
Both teams to score 56.72% (-0.145 -0.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.07% (0.0049999999999955 0)40.93% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.68% (0.0039999999999978 0)63.32% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Wrexham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.38% (0.104 0.1)13.62% (-0.099 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.22% (0.202 0.2)40.78% (-0.199 -0.2)
Maidstone United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.67% (-0.247 -0.25)34.33% (0.25 0.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.97% (-0.266 -0.27)71.03% (0.268 0.27)
Score Analysis
    Wrexham 58.79%
    Maidstone United 19.81%
    Draw 21.4%
WrexhamDrawMaidstone United
2-1 @ 9.94% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
1-0 @ 9.32% (0.034000000000001 0.03)
2-0 @ 9.29% (0.067 0.07)
3-1 @ 6.6% (0.028 0.03)
3-0 @ 6.17% (0.067 0.07)
3-2 @ 3.53% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
4-1 @ 3.29% (0.026 0.03)
4-0 @ 3.08% (0.045 0.04)
4-2 @ 1.76% (0.002 0)
5-1 @ 1.31% (0.016 0.02)
5-0 @ 1.23% (0.023 0.02)
Other @ 3.28%
Total : 58.79%
1-1 @ 9.97% (-0.032 -0.03)
2-2 @ 5.31% (-0.033 -0.03)
0-0 @ 4.68%
3-3 @ 1.26% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 21.4%
1-2 @ 5.33% (-0.053 -0.05)
0-1 @ 5% (-0.034 -0.03)
0-2 @ 2.67% (-0.037 -0.04)
1-3 @ 1.9% (-0.032 -0.03)
2-3 @ 1.89% (-0.024 -0.02)
0-3 @ 0.95% (-0.019 -0.02)
Other @ 2.06%
Total : 19.81%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Chesterfield 2-0 Wrexham
Tuesday, August 16 at 7.45pm in National League
Last Game: Yeovil 1-1 Wrexham
Saturday, August 13 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Wrexham 2-1 Eastleigh
Saturday, August 6 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Wrexham 4-5 Grimsby Town
Saturday, May 28 at 12.30pm in National League
Last Game: Dag & Red 3-0 Wrexham
Sunday, May 15 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Wrexham 3-0 Stockport
Sunday, May 8 at 12.30pm in National League
Last Game: Maidstone 2-4 Dorking
Tuesday, August 16 at 7.45pm in National League
Last Game: Maidstone 2-1 York City
Saturday, August 13 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Altrincham 1-1 Maidstone
Saturday, August 6 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Maidstone 2-1 Hampton
Saturday, May 7 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Welling United 3-2 Maidstone
Monday, May 2 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Maidstone 3-1 Chelmsford City
Saturday, April 30 at 3pm in National League South


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