While Greece are simply playing for pride, the pressure is all on relegation-threatened Cyprus, and a victory here would provide a huge boost to their survival hopes. However, the visitors have cruised through their Nations League campaign so far and we expect them to secure another routine win on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Greece win with a probability of 58.68%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Cyprus had a probability of 16.35%.

The most likely scoreline for a Greece win was 0-1 with a probability of 16.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.76%) and 1-2 (8.97%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.28%), while for a Cyprus win it was 1-0 (7.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.

Result
Cyprus	Draw	Greece
16.35% ( 0.05)	24.96% ( 0.03)	58.68% ( -0.08)

Both teams to score 40.17% (

0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

40.19% (

-0.03)

59.81% (

0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.9% (

-0.02)

80.09% (

0.02)

Cyprus Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

50.47% (

0.06)

49.53% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

15.67% (

0.04)

84.33% (

-0.04)

Greece Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.59% (

-0.04)

20.4% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.16% (

-0.07)

52.83% (

0.07)

Score Analysis

Cyprus 16.35%

Greece 58.68%

Draw 24.95%

Cyprus	Draw	Greece
1-0 @ 7.1% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 3.97% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 2.49% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 0.93% ( 0) Other @ 1.86% Total : 16.35%	1-1 @ 11.28% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 10.1% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 3.15% ( 0) Other @ 0.42% Total : 24.95%	0-1 @ 16.06% 0-2 @ 12.76% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 8.97% ( -0) 0-3 @ 6.76% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 4.75% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 2.69% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.89% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.67% ( 0) Other @ 3.13% Total : 58.68%