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NI
Nations League | League C
Jun 2, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Windsor Park
GN

N. Ireland
0 - 1
Greece


Whyte (41'), McNair (90+6')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Bakasetas (39')
Tzavellas (84'), Mantalos (90+3')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Six:
Last Game: Kosovo 3-2 N. Ireland
Thursday, June 9 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Next Game: N. Ireland vs. Cyprus
Sunday, June 12 at 2pm in Nations League
Last Six:
Last Game: Greece 3-0 Cyprus
Thursday, June 9 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Next Game: Greece vs. Kosovo
Sunday, June 12 at 7.45pm in Nations League

We said: Northern Ireland 1-1 Greece

With both nations seemingly on the up, this should be a competitive encounter. Northern Ireland will start as the marginal favourites, but we are expecting the visitors to strike in the final third at some stage, earning a draw that will be deemed more than satisfactory by their supporters. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Greece win with a probability of 45.94%. A draw had a probability of 27.8% and a win for Northern Ireland had a probability of 26.27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Greece win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.18%) and 1-2 (8.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.88%), while for a Northern Ireland win it was 1-0 (9.62%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Greece in this match.

Result
Northern IrelandDrawGreece
26.27% (0.02 0.02) 27.78% (0.0040000000000013 0) 45.94% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02)
Both teams to score 44.99% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.87% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)60.13% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.66% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)80.33% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Northern Ireland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.95% (0.015999999999998 0.02)39.05% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.23% (0.013999999999999 0.01)75.77% (-0.013000000000005 -0.01)
Greece Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.81% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)26.18% (0.013000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.73% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)61.27% (0.017000000000003 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Northern Ireland 26.27%
    Greece 45.94%
    Draw 27.77%
Northern IrelandDrawGreece
1-0 @ 9.62% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
2-1 @ 6.06% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-0 @ 4.52% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-1 @ 1.9% (0.002 0)
3-0 @ 1.42% (0.002 0)
3-2 @ 1.27% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 1.49%
Total : 26.27%
1-1 @ 12.88%
0-0 @ 10.22%
2-2 @ 4.06% (0.0010000000000003 0)
Other @ 0.62%
Total : 27.77%
0-1 @ 13.7%
0-2 @ 9.18% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-2 @ 8.63% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
0-3 @ 4.1% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
1-3 @ 3.86% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
2-3 @ 1.81%
0-4 @ 1.37% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-4 @ 1.29% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 1.99%
Total : 45.94%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: N. Ireland 0-1 Hungary
Tuesday, March 29 at 7.45pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Luxembourg 1-3 N. Ireland
Friday, March 25 at 7.15pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: N. Ireland 0-0 Italy
Monday, November 15 at 7.45pm in World Cup Qualifying - Europe
Last Game: N. Ireland 1-0 Lithuania
Friday, November 12 at 7.45pm in World Cup Qualifying - Europe
Last Game: Bulgaria 2-1 N. Ireland
Tuesday, October 12 at 7.45pm in World Cup Qualifying - Europe
Last Game: Switzerland 2-0 N. Ireland
Saturday, October 9 at 7.45pm in World Cup Qualifying - Europe
Last Game: Montenegro 1-0 Greece
Monday, March 28 at 7pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Romania 0-1 Greece
Friday, March 25 at 6.15pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Greece 1-1 Kosovo
Sunday, November 14 at 7.45pm in World Cup Qualifying - Europe
Last Game: Greece 0-1 Spain
Thursday, November 11 at 7.45pm in World Cup Qualifying - Europe
Last Game: Sweden 2-0 Greece
Tuesday, October 12 at 7.45pm in World Cup Qualifying - Europe
Last Game: Georgia 0-2 Greece
Saturday, October 9 at 5pm in World Cup Qualifying - Europe


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