Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Faroe Islands win with a probability of 41.41%. A win for Latvia had a probability of 31.61% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Faroe Islands win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.58%) and 2-0 (7.56%). The likeliest Latvia win was 0-1 (9.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood.