Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montenegro win with a probability of 53.73%. A draw had a probability of 26.4% and a win for Latvia had a probability of 19.86%.
The most likely scoreline for a Montenegro win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.37%) and 2-1 (8.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.05%), while for a Latvia win it was 0-1 (8.14%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood.