Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Greece win with a probability of 73.75%. A draw had a probability of 17.5% and a win for Moldova had a probability of 8.72%.
The most likely scoreline for a Greece win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (13.84%) and 3-0 (10.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.14%), while for a Moldova win it was 0-1 (3.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 14.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Greece in this match.