Due to the absence of some regulars up front, Israel may struggle to get the three points they desire from their final fixture, and Albania possess sufficient experience to hold the hosts to a score draw. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Israel win with a probability of 41.02%. A win for Albania had a probability of 32.55% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Israel win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.65%) and 2-0 (7.23%). The likeliest Albania win was 0-1 (9.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.56%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Israel would win this match.

Result
Israel	Draw	Albania
41.02% ( -0.21)	26.42% ( 0.05)	32.55% ( 0.16)

Both teams to score 52.16% (

-0.1)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.48% (

-0.15)

52.52% (

0.15)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.81% (

-0.13)

74.18% (

0.13)

Israel Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.76% (

-0.18)

25.24% (

0.18)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.01% (

-0.25)

59.99% (

0.25)

Albania Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.77% (

0.04)

30.22% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.61% (

0.04)

66.39% (

-0.04)

Score Analysis

Israel 41.02%

Albania 32.55%

Draw 26.42%

Israel	Draw	Albania
1-0 @ 10.5% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.65% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 7.23% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 3.97% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 3.32% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 2.38% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.37% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 1.14% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.47% Total : 41.02%	1-1 @ 12.56% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 7.63% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 5.18% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 0.95% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.42%	0-1 @ 9.13% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 7.52% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 5.46% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 3% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 2.18% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 2.06% ( -0) Other @ 3.2% Total : 32.55%