SM
| Current League B2 Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Russia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Israel | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Iceland | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Albania | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Israel win with a probability of 38.36%. A win for Iceland had a probability of 37.79% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Israel win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.01%) and 0-2 (5.46%). The likeliest Iceland win was 2-1 (8.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.82%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Iceland | Draw | Israel |
37.79% ( -0.02) | 23.85% ( -0) | 38.36% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 62.06% ( 0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.89% ( 0.03) | 40.11% ( -0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.52% ( 0.04) | 62.48% ( -0.03) |
| Iceland Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.64% ( 0.01) | 21.36% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.67% ( 0.01) | 54.34% ( -0.01) |
| Israel Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.92% ( 0.03) | 21.09% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.09% ( 0.04) | 53.91% ( -0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Iceland | Draw | Israel |
| 2-1 @ 8.35% ( -0) 1-0 @ 6.95% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 5.37% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 4.3% ( -0)3-2 @ 3.35% ( 0)3-0 @ 2.76% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.66% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.29% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.07% ( -0)Other @ 2.71% Total : 37.79% | 1-1 @ 10.82% 2-2 @ 6.5% ( 0)0-0 @ 4.5% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.74% ( 0)Other @ 0.29% Total : 23.85% | 1-2 @ 8.42% ( 0) 0-1 @ 7.01% ( -0)0-2 @ 5.46% ( 0)1-3 @ 4.37% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 3.37% ( 0)0-3 @ 2.83% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.7% ( 0)2-4 @ 1.31% ( 0)0-4 @ 1.1% ( 0)Other @ 2.78% Total : 38.36% |
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