SM
| Current League B2 Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Russia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Israel | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Iceland | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Albania | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Current League B2 Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Russia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Israel | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Iceland | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Albania | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Albania win with a probability of 38.38%. A win for Iceland had a probability of 38.03% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for an Albania win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.71%) and 0-2 (5.32%). The likeliest Iceland win was 2-1 (8.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.58%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
| Result | ||
| Iceland | Draw | Albania |
38.03% ( -0.01) | 23.59% ( 0.02) | 38.38% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 63.07% ( -0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.2% ( -0.08) | 38.8% ( 0.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.89% ( -0.09) | 61.11% ( 0.09) |
| Iceland Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.33% ( -0.04) | 20.67% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.75% ( -0.06) | 53.25% ( 0.06) |
| Albania Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.5% ( -0.04) | 20.5% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.01% ( -0.07) | 52.98% ( 0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Iceland | Draw | Albania |
| 2-1 @ 8.35% ( 0) 1-0 @ 6.68% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 5.27% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 4.39% ( -0)3-2 @ 3.48% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 2.77% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.73% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.37% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.09% ( -0)Other @ 2.92% Total : 38.03% | 1-1 @ 10.58% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.61% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 4.24% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1.84% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.32% Total : 23.58% | 1-2 @ 8.39% ( 0) 0-1 @ 6.71% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 5.32% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 4.43% ( -0)2-3 @ 3.49% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 2.81% 1-4 @ 1.76% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.38% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 1.11% ( -0)Other @ 2.97% Total : 38.38% |
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