Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Austria win with a probability of 73.5%. A draw had a probability of 17.9% and a win for Northern Ireland had a probability of 8.6%.
The most likely scoreline for an Austria win was 0-2 with a probability of 15.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (14.61%) and 0-3 (10.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.2%), while for a Northern Ireland win it was 1-0 (3.89%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 14.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Austria would win this match.
