Despite their dismal Nations League record, Republic of Ireland will hope to have a change of fortunes at some stage. While that may not necessarily come on Saturday, we feel that the Green Army will do enough to claim a hard-earned share of the spoils in a tight match. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Scotland win with a probability of 48.84%. A draw had a probability of 27% and a win for Republic of Ireland had a probability of 24.18%.

The most likely scoreline for a Scotland win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.79%) and 1-2 (8.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.57%), while for a Republic of Ireland win it was 1-0 (8.85%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood.

Result
Republic of Ireland	Draw	Scotland
24.18% ( 0.13)	26.99% ( 0.01)	48.84% ( -0.14)

Both teams to score 45.39% (

0.09)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.28% (

0.06)

58.73% (

-0.06)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.74% (

0.05)

79.26% (

-0.04)

Republic of Ireland Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.85% (

0.16)

40.15% (

-0.15)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.21% (

0.14)

76.79% (

-0.14)

Scotland Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.84% (

-0.04)

24.16% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.53% (

-0.05)

58.48% (

0.06)

Score Analysis

Republic of Ireland 24.18%

Scotland 48.83%

Draw 26.98%

Republic of Ireland	Draw	Scotland
1-0 @ 8.85% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 5.74% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 4.04% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 1.75% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 1.24% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 1.23% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.34% Total : 24.18%	1-1 @ 12.57% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 9.7% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 4.08% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.64% Total : 26.98%	0-1 @ 13.77% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 9.79% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 8.93% ( -0) 0-3 @ 4.63% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 4.23% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.93% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 1.65% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.5% ( -0) Other @ 2.4% Total : 48.83%