Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Republic of Ireland win with a probability of 47.75%. A draw had a probability of 28.8% and a win for Luxembourg had a probability of 23.44%.
The most likely scoreline for a Republic of Ireland win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.18%) and 1-2 (8.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.79%), while for a Luxembourg win it was 1-0 (9.93%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Republic of Ireland would win this match.
