SM
| Current League B1 Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Scotland | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Republic of Ireland | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Ukraine | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Armenia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Current League B1 Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Scotland | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Republic of Ireland | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Ukraine | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Armenia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Republic of Ireland win with a probability of 36.19%. A win for Ukraine had a probability of 35.56% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Republic of Ireland win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.7%) and 2-0 (6.69%). The likeliest Ukraine win was 0-1 (11.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.23%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Ukraine would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Republic of Ireland | Draw | Ukraine |
36.19% ( -0.02) | 28.25% ( 0.02) | 35.56% ( 0) |
| Both teams to score 47.04% ( -0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.81% ( -0.07) | 59.19% ( 0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.38% ( -0.05) | 79.62% ( 0.05) |
| Republic of Ireland Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.78% ( -0.05) | 31.22% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.44% ( -0.05) | 67.56% ( 0.05) |
| Ukraine Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.38% ( -0.03) | 31.62% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.98% ( -0.04) | 68.03% ( 0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Republic of Ireland | Draw | Ukraine |
| 1-0 @ 11.49% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 7.7% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 6.69% 3-1 @ 2.99% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 2.6% ( -0)3-2 @ 1.72% ( -0)Other @ 3% Total : 36.19% | 1-1 @ 13.23% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 9.87% ( 0.03)2-2 @ 4.43% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.72% Total : 28.25% | 0-1 @ 11.36% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 7.62% ( -0)0-2 @ 6.54% ( 0)1-3 @ 2.92% ( -0)0-3 @ 2.51% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.7% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.9% Total : 35.55% |
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