Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Scotland win with a probability of 39.66%. A win for Czech Republic had a probability of 33.47% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Scotland win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.43%) and 2-0 (7.08%). The likeliest Czech Republic win was 0-1 (9.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.76%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Scotland in this match.