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NIFL Premiership | Gameweek 5
Nov 10, 2020 at 7.45pm UK
Ballymena Showgrounds

Ballymena
0 - 2
Glenavon


Harpur (33')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Fitzpatrick (13'), Moorhouse (90+3')
Larmour (58'), Garrett (80')
Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Ballymena United and Glenavon.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Glenavon win with a probability of 45.59%. A win for Ballymena United had a probability of 30.73% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Glenavon win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.99%) and 0-2 (6.79%). The likeliest Ballymena United win was 2-1 (7.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.84%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Glenavon would win this match.

Result
Ballymena UnitedDrawGlenavon
30.73%23.67%45.59%
Both teams to score 60.69%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.95%41.04%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.55%63.43%
Ballymena United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.26%25.73%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.33%60.65%
Glenavon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.72%18.27%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.66%49.33%
Score Analysis
    Ballymena United 30.73%
    Glenavon 45.59%
    Draw 23.66%
Ballymena UnitedDrawGlenavon
2-1 @ 7.36%
1-0 @ 6.38%
2-0 @ 4.33%
3-1 @ 3.33%
3-2 @ 2.83%
3-0 @ 1.96%
4-1 @ 1.13%
4-2 @ 0.96%
Other @ 2.44%
Total : 30.73%
1-1 @ 10.84%
2-2 @ 6.26%
0-0 @ 4.7%
3-3 @ 1.61%
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 23.66%
1-2 @ 9.22%
0-1 @ 7.99%
0-2 @ 6.79%
1-3 @ 5.23%
0-3 @ 3.85%
2-3 @ 3.55%
1-4 @ 2.22%
0-4 @ 1.64%
2-4 @ 1.51%
Other @ 3.61%
Total : 45.59%


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