Ballymena
1 - 4
Crusaders

McElroy (24')
Harpur (35'), Strain (43'), Hume (65'), Winchester (77'), McElroy (84')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Clarke (48'), Owens (53', 78'), Caddell (83')
Lowry (69'), Thompson (72')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Ballymena United and Crusaders.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crusaders win with a probability of 56.89%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Ballymena United had a probability of 19.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crusaders win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.52%) and 1-2 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.12%), while for a Ballymena United win it was 1-0 (6.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Crusaders would win this match.

Result
Ballymena United	Draw	Crusaders
19.7%	23.4%	56.89%

Both teams to score 50.02%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.24%

49.75%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.23%

71.76%

Ballymena United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.46%

39.53%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.77%

76.22%

Crusaders Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.72%

17.27%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.39%

47.61%

Score Analysis

Ballymena United 19.7%

Crusaders 56.88%

Draw 23.39%

Ballymena United	Draw	Crusaders
1-0 @ 6.34% 2-1 @ 5.16% 2-0 @ 2.94% 3-1 @ 1.6% 3-2 @ 1.4% 3-0 @ 0.91% Other @ 1.35% Total : 19.7%	1-1 @ 11.12% 0-0 @ 6.83% 2-2 @ 4.53% Other @ 0.91% Total : 23.39%	0-1 @ 11.99% 0-2 @ 10.52% 1-2 @ 9.77% 0-3 @ 6.16% 1-3 @ 5.72% 0-4 @ 2.71% 2-3 @ 2.65% 1-4 @ 2.51% 2-4 @ 1.17% 0-5 @ 0.95% Other @ 2.73% Total : 56.88%