Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Larne win with a probability of 55.01%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Carrick Rangers had a probability of 21.56%.
The most likely scoreline for a Larne win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.81%) and 0-2 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.12%), while for a Carrick Rangers win it was 1-0 (6.31%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Larne would win this match.