Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crusaders win with a probability of 54.02%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Cliftonville had a probability of 22.26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crusaders win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.76%) and 2-0 (9.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.26%), while for a Cliftonville win it was 0-1 (6.5%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Crusaders in this match.