Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Glentoran win with a probability of 69.56%. A draw had a probability of 17.9% and a win for Dungannon Swifts had a probability of 12.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Glentoran win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.89%) and 1-2 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.46%), while for a Dungannon Swifts win it was 1-0 (3.7%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Glentoran would win this match.
