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NIFL Premiership | Gameweek 4
May 25, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
Shamrock Park

Portadown
4 - 2
Dungannon

Salley (28', 81'), Bonis (72'), McCallum (88')
Tipton (56'), Lavery (90+1')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Convie (51'), Campbell (54')
Coyle (71')
Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Portadown and Dungannon Swifts.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portadown win with a probability of 52.53%. A win for Dungannon Swifts had a probability of 23.95% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portadown win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.74%) and 2-0 (8.79%). The likeliest Dungannon Swifts win was 0-1 (6.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.09%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Portadown would win this match.

Result
PortadownDrawDungannon Swifts
52.53%23.52%23.95%
Both teams to score 55.43%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.58%45.42%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.25%67.75%
Portadown Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.73%17.27%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.39%47.61%
Dungannon Swifts Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67%33%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.42%69.59%
Score Analysis
    Portadown 52.53%
    Dungannon Swifts 23.95%
    Draw 23.51%
PortadownDrawDungannon Swifts
1-0 @ 10.01%
2-1 @ 9.74%
2-0 @ 8.79%
3-1 @ 5.7%
3-0 @ 5.14%
3-2 @ 3.16%
4-1 @ 2.5%
4-0 @ 2.26%
4-2 @ 1.39%
Other @ 3.83%
Total : 52.53%
1-1 @ 11.09%
0-0 @ 5.7%
2-2 @ 5.4%
3-3 @ 1.17%
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 23.51%
0-1 @ 6.32%
1-2 @ 6.15%
0-2 @ 3.5%
1-3 @ 2.27%
2-3 @ 2%
0-3 @ 1.3%
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 23.95%

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