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NIFL Premiership | Gameweek 33
Apr 23, 2021 at 7.30pm UK
The Oval
L

Glentoran
3 - 2
Larne

Marshall (9'), Donnelly (71'), Sule (81' og.)
FT(HT: 1-2)
Randall (20'), Cosgrove (23')
McKendry (45+2'), Herron (66')
Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Glentoran and Larne.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Glentoran win with a probability of 49.98%. A win for Larne had a probability of 25.02% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Glentoran win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.48%) and 2-0 (9.02%). The likeliest Larne win was 0-1 (7.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.89%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Glentoran would win this match.

Result
GlentoranDrawLarne
49.98%25%25.02%
Both teams to score 51.86%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.32%50.68%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.41%72.58%
Glentoran Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.71%20.29%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.35%52.65%
Larne Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.05%34.94%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.31%71.68%
Score Analysis
    Glentoran 49.97%
    Larne 25.02%
    Draw 25%
GlentoranDrawLarne
1-0 @ 11.3%
2-1 @ 9.48%
2-0 @ 9.02%
3-1 @ 5.04%
3-0 @ 4.8%
3-2 @ 2.65%
4-1 @ 2.01%
4-0 @ 1.91%
4-2 @ 1.06%
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 49.97%
1-1 @ 11.89%
0-0 @ 7.09%
2-2 @ 4.99%
3-3 @ 0.93%
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 25%
0-1 @ 7.45%
1-2 @ 6.25%
0-2 @ 3.92%
1-3 @ 2.19%
2-3 @ 1.75%
0-3 @ 1.37%
Other @ 2.08%
Total : 25.02%

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