Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Glentoran win with a probability of 49.98%. A win for Larne had a probability of 25.02% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Glentoran win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.48%) and 2-0 (9.02%). The likeliest Larne win was 0-1 (7.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.89%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Glentoran would win this match.