Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Larne win with a probability of 74.1%. A draw had a probability of 16.1% and a win for Carrick Rangers had a probability of 9.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Larne win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10%) and 3-0 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.63%), while for a Carrick Rangers win it was 0-1 (3.14%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Larne would win this match.