Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Larne win with a probability of 72.16%. A draw had a probability of 17% and a win for Warrenpoint Town had a probability of 10.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Larne win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.31%) and 2-1 (9.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.08%), while for a Warrenpoint Town win it was 0-1 (3.46%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Larne would win this match.