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NIFL Premiership | Gameweek 32
Apr 16, 2021 at 8pm UK
Inver Park

Larne
5 - 0
Warrenpoint

Robinson (8'), Mitchell (20' pen.), Donnelly (49'), Hale (52'), McDaid (90')
Randall (60'), McKendry (90+2')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Larne and Warrenpoint Town.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Larne win with a probability of 72.16%. A draw had a probability of 17% and a win for Warrenpoint Town had a probability of 10.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Larne win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.31%) and 2-1 (9.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.08%), while for a Warrenpoint Town win it was 0-1 (3.46%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Larne would win this match.

Result
LarneDrawWarrenpoint Town
72.16%17.04%10.8%
Both teams to score 49.05%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.31%39.68%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.96%62.04%
Larne Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.34%9.66%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
67.76%32.24%
Warrenpoint Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.29%45.7%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.51%81.49%
Score Analysis
    Larne 72.14%
    Warrenpoint Town 10.8%
    Draw 17.04%
LarneDrawWarrenpoint Town
2-0 @ 12.05%
1-0 @ 10.31%
2-1 @ 9.44%
3-0 @ 9.4%
3-1 @ 7.36%
4-0 @ 5.49%
4-1 @ 4.3%
3-2 @ 2.88%
5-0 @ 2.57%
5-1 @ 2.01%
4-2 @ 1.68%
6-0 @ 1%
Other @ 3.66%
Total : 72.14%
1-1 @ 8.08%
0-0 @ 4.42%
2-2 @ 3.7%
Other @ 0.84%
Total : 17.04%
0-1 @ 3.46%
1-2 @ 3.16%
0-2 @ 1.35%
2-3 @ 0.97%
Other @ 1.86%
Total : 10.8%

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